Wednesday, January 25, 2012
The Web's Worst Privacy Policy
Netflix Streaming Margins Are 11 Percent, DVD Margins Are 52 Percent
While the streaming business is growing (adding 220 subscribers domestically in the quarter), and the DVD business sis shrinking (it lost 2.76 million subscribers domestically), it's margins are much worse than the legacy DVD business. The streaming business has an 11 percent profit margin, compared to a very healthy 52 percent margin for the DVD business.
Out of Netflix's total $847 million in revenues last quarter, $476 million came from streaming and $370 million came from DVD rentals (the remainder came from international). The streaming business also twice as many subscribers: 21.7 million versus 11.2 million. But the DVD business contributed the vast majority of Netflix's profit: $194 million versus $52 million.
If you break that down, each streaming subscriber is worth only $2.40 in profit each quarter to Netflix, compared to $17.32 for each DVD subscriber. The old business was very lucrative. The new business kind of sucks. The economics are very different. The DVD business had fixed costs, while Netflix is forced to negotiate streaming licenses on a case by case basis with each media company.
Investors are going to have to figure out how long the old DVD business can keep generating cash until the new streaming business takes off, but the stock will be valued based on those future cash flows from streaming. And those future cash flows are worth a lot less than the cash flows from the DVD business. At least that is what it looks like right now.
Mac OS X Leopard and Lion Help: Resetting PRAM
To reset your computer's PRAM:
- Shut down the computer.
- Locate the following keys on the keyboard: Command, Option, P, and R. You will need to hold these keys down simultaneously in step 4.
- Turn on the computer.
- Immediately press and hold the Command-Option-P-R keys. You must press this key combination before the gray screen appears.
Continue holding the keys down until the computer restarts, and you hear the startup sound for the second time. - Release the keys.
The Best Time To Score Cheap Airfare Is Six Weeks Before The Flight
"We're not advising people to purchase tickets only at this time during the cycle as there is no guarantee they will receive the lowest price of the year," said Chuck Thackston, managing director of data and analytics for the firm. "It is just that the data indicates we have seen this pattern over the last four years."
Will the Keystone Pipeline Decision Affect Prices at the Pump?
Will the Keystone Pipeline Decision Affect Prices at the Pump?
Will you be paying more at the pump now that the Obama Administration has rejected plans to build the Keystone XL crude pipeline? At issue is whether the US would allow TransCanada, a large Canadian energy company, to build a massive pipeline that would transport crude oil from Canada and parts of the US, all the way down to the US refining center around Houston, Texas. Those for and against the pipeline have peppered the media with dozens of reasons why the pipeline should, or should not, be built.
Here are a few issues worth considering when assessing the impact of the pipeline on your wallet.
The Pro-Pipeline Argument.
The pro-pipeline advocates say the project is desperately needed because there is not enough takeaway capacity available to fulfill Canadian crude production. They fear lots of Canadian crude could be shut in the ground with nowhere to go if this pipeline isn't built quickly. In addition, they say the few pipelines that do connect Canada's oil production region to the US currently flow where refining capacity is limited. This means less gasoline for your tank. Connecting Canada with the big refineries in Texas, they say, would solve both problems, as it increases takeaway capacity and refining capacity. The result would mean more supply for US consumers, and therefore, lower gasoline prices.
The Anti-Pipeline Argument.
The anti-pipeline advocates say the project will just serve the interest of big oil corporations that want to make more money and it would do nothing to improve the supply picture in the US. They are concerned that the oil flowing to Texas will not go to the US market, but will instead be refined and shipped via Houston's massive port to other parts of the world. They cite a TransCanada study that estimates Canadian crude could fetch as much as $4 billion more per year if the pipeline is built because the pipeline would open up new markets to them.
For now, Canadian crude destined for export has only been able to flow to the US Mid-Continent. This has allowed refiners there to lower prices for the oil, as they were the only player in town. Building this pipeline, they argue, upsets that dynamic and would force refiners to pay more for Canadian crude, which would translate to higher prices at the pump.
When would it affect prices at the pump?
Both sides present compelling arguments on the economic angle of this story but there are a few things you should know. First, as you may have noticed, oil prices did not move radically last week after the administration failed to give the project the green light. That's because the oil price quoted today is for delivery in a month. The pipeline is not expected to be completed until 2015 and a lot can happen between now and then. So, for now, oil traders have just stored this information in the back of their minds.
The major variable.
Second, oil is a relatively fungible commodity, which means a barrel of oil sold in Canada is capable of mutual substitution with most other barrels of oil from around the globe, plus or minus a few dollars, based on how easily the crude can be refined into gasoline and other products. It shouldn't matter too much where the barrel of oil is sold or consumed, as it should be relatively the same price, minus transportation costs, across the globe. The US receives much of its oil from Canada, a strong ally, as well as from Venezuela, where its relationship is problematic, because both are close by. The only real variable to be considered here is the shipping cost and that is determined by the distance and ease of transport of the crude.
The crude export market.
Bearing this in mind, it seems clear why supporters believe adding more export capacity will help world oil markets. If Canadian crude is shut in and cannot get to an export market, then the price of crude around the world should rise. Currently, there is enough export capacity to deliver all available Canadian crude to an export market and the US Mid-Continent for at least the next four to five years. There is around 1 million barrels a day of spare capacity available on current lines.
Is the export market the best place for the crude?
There is an export market but is that market the best place for the crude? There probably won't be more demand for much more crude in the Mid-Continent as its refineries reach peak capacity, which means Canadian crude could be de-facto shut in. Eventually, that crude needs to reach other export markets to impact world supply. Texas is perhaps the best place for the crude, as it has the ability to refine heavy Canadian crude in large quantities.
Currently, there is just one large pipeline, the Seaway pipeline, linking the US Mid-Continent to Houston but the pipeline is flowing refined products up north and not receiving crude. The pipeline was recently sold and the new owner said they would reverse the flow to send crude down to Houston next year. This is expected to erase much of the differential that Mid-Continent refiners enjoyed by being Canada's only export market.
Is the US the only export market for Canadian crude?
Does the US have to be the only export market for Canadian crude? Canada could upgrade its own pipelines to take more of its own crude to its refining center in Ontario. It could also build a pipeline west to facilitate export to China and beyond. While it would cost more money to ship oil to China than to the US, it is better than crude being shut in the ground. Both alternative solutions are in the planning stages, so neither is far-fetched.
The Bottom Line
At the end of the day, it is widely believed that the excess Canadian crude will find an export market. The largest differential seems to be the price of shipping extra oil to either Texas by the Keystone XL pipeline, versus somewhere else. Given how massive the world oil market is, that differential in cost will likely be small and should have limited, if any, impact on the price you'll pay at the pump.
Why Apple's products are 'Designed in California' but 'Assembled in China'
Why Apple's products are 'Designed in California' but 'Assembled in China'
Look at the back of your iPhone, or your iPad, or on the bottom of your Mac. You'll see the following words embossed somewhere: "Designed by Apple in California. Assembled in China." Many Americans, all the way up to the President himself, have wondered why Apple has outsourced virtually all of its manufacturing overseas. At a dinner with several top US technology executives last year , President Obama asked Steve Jobs flat out what it would take to bring those jobs back to the US. According to Jobs, there's simply no way for it to happen.
Why not? Why can't iPhones, iPads, and all the rest of Apple's magic gadgets be built in the States? More generally, why can't more US-based consumer electronics and computer companies do their manufacturing work domestically, helping to create American jobs and boost the struggling economy?
The New York Times asked that question, and after an extremely well-researched report involving interviews with both former and current executives at Apple, the answer the Times found is both simple and chilling: iPhones aren't made in America because they just can't be. The infrastructure and labor force doesn't exist at the levels necessary to support Apple's operations — it's not even close.
The Chinese factory where most iPhones reach final assembly employs 230,000 workers. I just asked Siri how many cities in the US have a population higher than that, and the answer was a mere 83 cities — and that's total population, not workforce. With an average labor force of around 65 percent of the population, only 50 US cities are large enough to provide that kind of labor pool… and even in the biggest US city of them all, New York, 230,000 people still amounts to almost three percent of the city's entire population. Can you imagine three out of every hundred New Yorkers on an assembly line, cranking out iPhones every day?
Over the past couple of years, we have heard a great deal concerning working conditions at factories owned by Foxconn . The Chinese manufacturing company is responsible for assembling consumer electronics for most of the major vendors out there, including Apple. Around a fourth of those 230,000 people live in company-owned dorms or barracks right on factory property; that's almost 60,000 people living andworking at the factory. Many of the people at "Foxconn City" work six days a week, twelve hours a day, and they earn less than US$17 per day. It may sound inhumane by American standards, but these jobs are in high demand in China — so much so that Jennifer Rigoni, former worldwide supply demand manager for Apple, told the New York Times that Foxconn "could hire 3,000 people overnight."
Those are just a couple examples of how the scale, speed, and efficiency of Chinese manufacturing outstrips anything the US is currently capable of. But the Times' report is full of more evidence, and it's damning. Even though the 200,000 assembly-line workers putting part A into slot B could potentially be classified as unskilled labor, the 8700 industrial engineers overseeing the process can't be — and according to the Times, finding that many qualified engineers in the States would take nine months. Chinese manufacturers found them all in 15 days .
With the notable exception of the A5 processor , most of the components used to make the iPhone are also manufactured overseas, many of them within a relatively short distance of the final assembly plant. Shipping those components to any potential US-based factories would incur greater costs, and even worse from Apple's perspective, manufacturing delays.
Traditional defenses of outsourcing of manufacturing jobs have revolved around cost. "It costs more money to build in America," the reasoning goes; "You have to pay your workers more, you have to pay benefits, insurance, higher taxes. Everything costs more." Since companies want to make a profit, that added cost inevitably gets passed on to the consumer in inflated prices for goods.
To exaggerate the point, many have claimed that an American-manufactured iPhone would cost thousands of dollars. It turns out that's hyperbole; according to the New York Times, the increased cost of paying American wages to workers would add $65 to the cost of an iPhone. The other costs, added together, probably wouldn't drive the unsubsidized price of a 16 GB iPhone 4S over US$1000. But the dollar cost of manufacturing in America isn't the biggest issue that's driving Apple's decision to outsource manufacturing to China. Instead, it's about who can build the greatest number of iPhones within the shortest period of time, all while remaining flexible and instantaneously adaptable to Apple's needs. According to one current Apple executive, "The US has stopped producing people with the skills we need."
The Times provides a telling example from the early days of the iPhone, before it ever hit the market. It's hard to believe now, but originally the iPhone's screen was going to be made from the same scratch-prone plastic that graced the fronts of its contemporaneous iPod models. In mid-2007, just over a month before the iPhone was scheduled to hit stores for the first time ever, Jobs realized the folly of using that plastic when the screen of the iPhone prototype he was carrying in his jeans pocket had accumulated dozens of scratches. "I won't sell a product that gets scratched. I want a glass screen, and I want it perfect in six weeks."
Anyone who knows how Jobs worked knows that he wasn't bluffing — if the iPhone didn't meet his standards, it wouldn't go on sale, period. Six months of anticipation had driven demand for the first iPhone into a frenzy, so Apple knew it was going to have to crank them out as quickly as possible. But the last-second change to what was arguably one of the iPhone's most central components meant initiating the kind of mad scramble that simply wouldn't be possible in US manufacturing. Apple would have been an industry laughingstock for as long as it took to overcome the manufacturing delay. Instead, what might have taken months to transpire in the US took place in six short weeks; Apple sourced a virtually scratchproof glass from Corning , and Chinese factories rapidly managed to integrate it into the existing iPhone design.
As it's an American company reaping unprecedented financial rewards , many Americans have lamented the fact that the rewards coming back into America are so comparatively meager. Apple employs 43,000 people in the United States, less than a fifth the number of contractor employees assembling iPhones at one Chinese factory. One could argue that Apple's success has come at the expense of the American manufacturing workforce, but if the New York Times' report is anything to go by, it seems the workforce Apple would have needed in America never existed to begin with.
Top 10 Tools for Finding and Moving into a Great New Home

Title image remixed from an original by Ben Freedman .
10. Know Your Rights

Whether you plan to rent or buy, you need to know your rights. Renters can quickly find this information in their state's tenant handbook. To make things simple, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development has a tenants rights page for every state . Just choose yours and start reading. Although homeowner rights will vary from state to state as well, the American Bar Association Family Legal Guide provides some broad answers . To find state-specific rights, just do a web search for "homeowner rights" and the name of your state. In most cases you'll find a government web site and/or PDF document filled with everything you want to know.
Image via CB Blog Estate .
9. Hire a Reputable Mover
8. Figure Out Your Budget for Owning a Home
7. Score Free Moving Boxes and Packing Supplies
6. Find a Realtor and Find Homes

If you're buying a home, the first thing you're going to need to do is find one and chances are you'll need a realtor's help to do that.Homethinking provides a realtor search for both buyers and sellers and includes some helpful statistics on your options. If you're just looking to search existing listings, Redfincan show you plenty of options in a given area with helpful statistics. It even includes a mortgage calculator on each listing page to help you figure out what you'll need to pay per month depending on your term. Both are helpful tools when you're getting started in your search for a new home.
5. Simplify the Moving Process
4. Bring This Printable Checklist Form When You're Apartment Hunting
3. Map Apartment Listings In Your Area with PadMapper

PadMapper is a fantastic tool for finding a new apartment. You type in the area where you want to look, and it lays out your options on Google Maps. From there you can filter based on tons of criteria like price, bedrooms, and listing age. PadMapper also offers helpful statistics, such as crime in the area and if a particular listing is more or less expensive than the area's average. It's a great web app, but if you'd prefer to conduct your search on your mobile device you can pick up the free PadMapper mobile app for iPhone and Android .
2. Find Out If You Should Buy or Rent

Buying isn't always better than renting . In many cases it can be more costly, or at least not the best way to invest your money. It's best to compare your options first. The New York Times offers this renting versus buying calculator that can help you figure out what's currently in your best interest.
1. Get Neighborhood and Property Statistics

Whether you want to look at property statistics in a given area or check out tons of information on a specific home, Trulia is a great resource for both. Just type in the location you want to investigate and it will provide you with tons of statistics. It's kind of like stalking a house. You can find purchase histories, property tax information, how the area rates in various categories, the selling cost of nearby homes (if you're looking at something specific), and much more. Another tool you'll want to check out is Zillow , which also provides many useful statistics. As an added bonus, it has a mobile app for most platforms so you can look up information on the go.
Lesser-known facts from Apple's earnings statement
Research and Development
Mac sales
- Unit sales up 16 percent
- Revenue up 15 percent
- Unit sales up 3 percent
- Revenue up 2 percent
iPod sales
iTunes
Peripherals
iOS
Average revenue per unit sold
- Desktop Macs: $1309
- Portable Macs: $1254
- iPods: $164
- iPhones: $659
- iPads: $593









